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Nielsen: Speed-optimal Induction and Dynamic Coherence
4:10 pm
Nielsen: Speed-optimal Induction and Dynamic Coherence
@ Faculty House, Columbia U
Nov 16 @ 4:10 pm – 6:10 pm
A standard way to challenge convergence-based accounts of inductive success is to claim that they are too weak to constrain inductive inferences in the short run. We respond to such a challenge by answering some questions raised by Juhl (1994). When it comes to predicting limiting relative frequencies in the framework of Reichenbach, we show that speed-optimal convergence—a long-run success condition—induces dynamic coherence in the short run. This is joint work with Eric Wofsey. Michael[...]
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